The handicapping information taken from internet sports media and other sources connected with NFL Sports.*****Stats taken from Danny Sheridan power rating, Dunkel Index power rating has game with DVAXN Group 25 NFL Football Outsiders Powering Rating & There Calculated Point Spreads [Cleveland OH] With Bobby Lancer Exclusive ratings. My betting system is heavily dependent on statistics, requiring some data gathering and assumption building regarding future performance. My analysis with information using three Power ratings with a comparison factoring in home team edges. Trying to analyze a clear idea what teams are inflated with the point spread. Looking at stats from many different media sources with the point spreads compared to all three power ratings.
While the Patriots did a decent job covering the spread towards the end of last season, I don't expect them to do it in this game. The Patriots had issues among their offensive line all throughout the preseason and it might cause them some trouble here. With the trade of Matthew Judon, someone else will have to step up on the defensive line for the Patriots. It will take some time for this New England team to gel together. Patriots Power Rating -17.75 /// Bengals -4.96 in this match-up. Bengals should win 10 points or more according to Dunkel Index power rating. The Patriots have arguably the worst offensive line and skill position players in the NFL, plus they're playing Brissett at QB over the rookie Maye, meaning they are comfortable with a low-end starter at the most important position on the field. The Patriots are better than the Bengals on the defensive side of the ball but I doubt that will be enough to hang with the home team for four quarters if Chase plays.
My bet Bengals money line -$400 X 5 [Press] & 7 Point 2 Teaser Bengals -1/2 with Giants +8 1/2
I’m on the Titans here. I’m just not ready to buy into the Bears hype just yet, and it feels like a lot of people are going to be backing the Bears with the excitement going on in the Windy City. That being said, Tennessee still has some solid pieces and Levis was really solid to close out the year in 2023 and is on his way to being one of the better quarterbacks in the league in my opinion. I’ll take the points with Tennessee in what I see being a field goal game either way.
My bet Tennessee +4 hedging the money line +$175 on a press.
My bet 7 Point 2 Teaser Tennessee + 11 & Bengals -1/2 .
My bet 3 team 7 point teaser Tennessee + 11 & Bengals -1/2 & Giants +8 1/2
While the Patriots did a decent job covering the spread towards the end of last season, I don't expect them to do it in this game. The Patriots had issues among their offensive line all throughout the preseason and it might cause them some trouble here. With the trade of Matthew Judon, someone else will have to step up on the defensive line for the Patriots. It will take some time for this New England team to gel together. Patriots Power Rating -17.75 /// Bengals -4.96 in this match-up. Bengals should win 10 points or more according to Dunkel Index power rating. The Patriots have arguably the worst offensive line and skill position players in the NFL, plus they're playing Brissett at QB over the rookie Maye, meaning they are comfortable with a low-end starter at the most important position on the field. The Patriots are better than the Bengals on the defensive side of the ball but I doubt that will be enough to hang with the home team for four quarters if Chase plays.
My bet Bengals money line -$400 X 5 [Press] & 7 Point 2 Teaser Bengals -1/2 with Giants +8 1/2
I’m on the Titans here. I’m just not ready to buy into the Bears hype just yet, and it feels like a lot of people are going to be backing the Bears with the excitement going on in the Windy City. That being said, Tennessee still has some solid pieces and Levis was really solid to close out the year in 2023 and is on his way to being one of the better quarterbacks in the league in my opinion. I’ll take the points with Tennessee in what I see being a field goal game either way.
My bet Tennessee +4 hedging the money line +$175 on a press.
My bet 7 Point 2 Teaser Tennessee + 11 & Bengals -1/2 .
My bet 3 team 7 point teaser Tennessee + 11 & Bengals -1/2 & Giants +8 1/2
